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Zimbabwe - A letter from the diaspora (July 2008) |
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Countdown is a political detective story. It is fiction but the background is accurate and verifiable. Set in 2001/2 and the start of the land invasions, the book shows how the politicisation of the police force has led directly to the breakdown of law and order. In this hostile environment, two honest cops attempt to investigate a murder. Click here to find out more or buy online
Watching it all from the UK diaspora, two points strike me about this move by civic society: the first is that they seem to have forgotten the March 29th elections which Morgan Tsangirai and the MDC won conclusively. The second point concerns the appointment of a so-called 'neutral' figure to head up a new government. Anyone with even the most rudimentary understanding of Zimbabwean politics over the last few years knows very well that 'neutrality' is simply not possible in that context. In the life and death struggle that has gripped Zimbabwe, even finding food for your family has become 'political. From as far back as 2004 when I left, the ownership of a Zanu PF card determined whether or not you would be able to access maize; to claim that you were neutral and belonged to neither party would get you nothing, except a beating. That was true right down at the grassroots level of politics and it still maintains today. How then is it possible to claim that 'neutrality' is a requirement for leadership in a country where political allegiance has penetrated every single aspect of life. To be neutral in Zimbabwe is virtually impossible. Even the police, the judiciary and the military who are all supposed to be neutral and apolitical have taken sides. Where then is this 'neutral' leader to be found? The Zimbabwean people have already spoken, they want a new dispensation in their country and they want Morgan Tsvangirai to lead it. To ignore that fact, as the civic groups have done is to ignore the democratic voice of the people and, in my view, demonstrates a naïve lack of understanding of political realities. Like everyone else I felt profound misgivings when I saw the pictures of Morgan Tsvangirai shaking hands with Robert Mugabe. Like everyone else I asked myself how Tsvangirai could shake the hand of the man who was killing, torturing and imprisoning MDC supporters. Like everyone else I feared and still fear that Tsvangirai would be swallowed up and rendered powerless by Zanu PF just as Joshua Nkomo had been. I spent the rest of the week reading and rereading the MOU and listening to the voices coming out of Zimbabwe via SW RadioAfrica. In all the talk there is much about how Tsvangirai had been forced to negotiate or risk losing power. Very few people have noted that Mugabe himself was also forced to talk. With the economy imploding around him and the threat of even more sanctions against his cronies, Mugabe too had no option but to talk to his hated enemy. The truth is that all conflicts end with enemies facing each other across a table and hammering out an agreement. Zimbabwe cannot continue as it is, Zimbabweans know it and Africa knows it. The MOU acknowledges that "We (the parties ie Zanu PF and the two MDC formations) have an obligation of establishing a framework of working together in an inclusive government" (my underlining) Immediately noticeable is the fact that Robert Gabriel Mugabe is nowhere referred to as the President of Zimbabwe; he is simply called the President and First Secretary of Zanu PF in the same way that Morgan Richard Tsvangirai is the President of one MDC formation. That, in my view is a step forward. The MOU is nothing more than a Declaration of Commitment "to commit themselves to a dialogue with each other with a view to creating a genuine, viable, permanent and sustainable solution to the Zimbabwean situation and, in particular, to implement this Memorandum of Understanding." There is nothing legally binding here and either side could presumably get up and walk out at any point. It is the Agenda for the Dialogue now taking place in South Africa at some secret location that raises serious questions. "The Objectives and Priorities of a new Government" are divided into headings: Economic, Political, Security, Communication and Framework for a new Government. Under these various headings are sub-headings such as Sanctions, the Land question, a new constitution, free political activity, the rule of law, security of persons and prevention of violence. The contentious matter of the freedom of the press is summarised in the one word 'Media' with External radio stations similarly described. No commitment is made to freeing up the media or granting licences to independent radio stations. "It is envisaged" says the MOU that " the Dialogue will be completed within a period of two weeks from the signing of this MOU." Item10.1 entitled Security of Persons is of particular concern to all Zimbabweans suffering state violence. "Each party will issue a statement condemning the promotion and use of violence and call for peace in the country" and furthermore " The Parties will take all necessary measures to eliminate all forms of political violence, including by non-state actors, (my underlining) and to ensure the security of persons and property." Think of South Africa and you think of Mandela and smile; think of Zimbabwe and you think of Robert Mugabe and weep. Yet their ages and backgrounds are not so different. Both men have suffered imprisonment, both men have fought unjust colonial regimes but there the resemblance ends. In fact, the contrast between the two could not be greater: Mandela's warmth and charm come over even on camera. You feel better just to see that beautiful smile; such grace and dignity emanate from the man that youngsters the world over who were not even born during apartheid love and admire him. His sympathy for young people and children is manifest in everything he does. Of course, he has faults, he is human after all but it is that very humanity that earns him the world's love and respect. It is the very opposite quality in Robert Mugabe, his inhumanity towards his own people, that has earned him the world's revulsion. This week the reserve Bank Governor himself announced that inflation in the country had risen to 2.2 million %. In response Robert Mugabe launched his National Basic Commodities Supply Enhancement Programme. At the televised ceremony Mugabe announced the programme would put an end to profiteering and 'would bring basic goods to the people at affordable prices.' Pictured in the Herald, the goods were displayed in dear little baskets strangely reminiscent of the sort of 'krisimus bokis' that Rhodesians used to dole out to their employees once a year. But this was presidential magnanimity and each basket contained, so the Herald reported, cooking oil, laundry and bath soap flour and mealie meal to the value of Zim$ 100 billion, the price of a loaf of bread presently. It goes without saying that the first port of call for Mugabe's munificence is the rural areas where the chiefs and headmen will be in charge of distribution. These same chiefs who have sold their souls to Mugabe in exchange for cars, generators, and lord knows what other benefits will have yet another opportunity to demonstrate their loyalty to Mugabe by carefully excluding opposition supporters from his benevolence. Once it was the colonial masters who exploited the traditional rulers in a policy of 'divide and rule', now it is Zimbabwe's first and only black president as he still considers himself to be. Speaking at the ceremony to launch this rescue of the economy, Mugabe said this intervention was 'part of efforts to bring relief to the people while measures were being taken to revitalise the productive sector' Exactly how dishing out food hampers is going to achieve this miracle is not clear. Where have all these goodies come from anyway? Inflation, Mugabe claims, is the fault of illegal sanctions, Britain wants regime change so that they can continue to exploit the resources that Zimbabwe is endowed with. (I thought the Chinese had already done that!) More than anything else that Mugabe said at the launch of his food hampers, one particular remark caught my attention. Speaking of profiteering which he blamed along with sanctions for inflation and high food prices, Mugabe said, 'We do not want people behind bars…we would want our prisons to be empty than full but, alas, just now they are brimful and we do not know what to do' There is one thing he could do. Release the thousands of MDC activists and supporters from gaol and halt the violence, that just might help to persuade the MDC that Robert Mugabe still has some remnants of humanity left. What Zimbabwe desperately needs right now is a gesture of good will from Robert Mugabe. Then the current talks about talks might really lead on to a representative government.
The key word there is 'genuine'. Did the Presidential runoff on June 27 constitute a 'genuine' election? With massive intimidation of the opposition beforehand and only one candidate it is hard to see how anyone can claim that the result reflected the 'will of the people which is the basis of the authority of government.' Election observers from the AU, the PAP and SADC were unanimous that the conditions for free and fair election simply did not exist. The haste with which Robert Mugabe declared himself president even before the results had been announced was a clear indication to the nation and the world of his contempt for the democratic process and international opinion. In effect, he was challenging the world to recognise him as President for another five years. Speaking on July 9th Bright Matonga declared, " The people of Zimbabwe made a decision on June 27 and that decision has to be respected." With more than 100 killings, over 1500 MDC activists in prison, 5000 polling agents missing and at least 20 elected opposition MPs either in prison or in hiding, it was no surprise that the western powers should state categorically that they did not recognise Robert Mugabe as president of Zimbabwe. Now the UN is locked in fierce debate on what to do about Zimbabwe. The invasion of Iraq has shown that military intervention against dictatorships does not solve the problem in the long term and only causes immense human suffering for the general population. The imposition of sanctions appears to be the only answer. Not general sanctions against the Zimbabwean people but sanctions aimed specifically at the clique of top military men surrounding Mugabe and keeping him in power. There are thirteen of them and a draft UN resolution has named and shamed them. They are the men who have ruthlessly set about maintaining Mugabe's grip on power by nothing less than the total extermination of the opposition in an onslaught of violence that includes rape, murder and horrific torture. All week long the papers here have been analysing whether or not sanctions work. Paul Vallely writing in The Independent (10.07.08) argued the pros and cons of sanctions to deal with rogue regimes. They certainly helped to bring down the apartheid regime in South Africa - something Thabo Mbeki chooses to forget - and since military intervention is unlikely what other option is there to deal with a regime that has earned the revulsion of the rest of the world? Sanctions and an oil embargo could certainly immobilise the military force that is keeping Mugabe in power. On the other side of the argument, Vallely points out that for sanctions to work everyone has to abide by them. That is the weakness of the pro-sanctions argument. Sanctions busting by Mugabe's allies - and he still has some - will destroy the effectiveness of the measure. Inside the country, Zanu PF apologists have descended as always to the politics of race. Sikhanyiso Ndlovu, the Minister of Information claims in The Herald, that all this is nothing more than 'international racism' and 'an attempt to impose a government on the people of Zimbabwe.' His side kick, Bright Matonga, never shy of playing the race card, despite having a British wife, says the west "wants to undermine the AU and President Mbeki's mediation because they think only white people think better. It is an insult to African leaders." And what of the African leaders themselves? Sanctions, they say, will only harm Zimbabwe; Thabo Mbeki of course agrees. He has a short memory; it was the ANC who called for sanctions against the apartheid regime. While the debate rages on at the UN, Mbeki conveniently convenes a meeting of Zanu PF and the MDC just in time to assure the rest of the world that there is no need for sanctions since talks are already underway to form a Government of National Unity. No surprise to learn the Mugabe will continue to head that government and the MDC will be swallowed up. The sickening picture of a smiling Arthur Mutambara shaking hands with Mugabe at State House tells Zimbabweans very clearly how this is going to go but the people are not fools; they have every reason to know that Mugabe and Zanu PF are not to be trusted. Mugabe and his political soul mate, the chosen SADC negotiator, Thabo Mbeki, share the same mindset: Africa's liberation was won through the barrel of a gun and no mere cross on a ballot paper can change that. Meanwhile the killing, raping and burning continues. There are an estimated 200.000 people displaced because of the violence. "It is the MDC" says Nicholas Goche, "who committed the violence to create sympathy to coincide with the G8 Summit…to give the impression that there is increasing political violence and that people are still being beaten, but all that is false." At the UN the Zimbabwean delegation warns that sanctions "will push Zimbabwe towards a civil war." Zimbabweans know very well that it is not sanctions that 'will push the country towards civil war' it is Mugabe's own militia and war vets under the control of the military who are already doing that. Sanctions, if universally applied, would make it impossible for these criminals to travel outside the country or access their vast fortunes salted away in foreign bank accounts. The imposition of a strict arms embargo would mean that the regime was no longer be able to buy arms to kill their own countrymen and women. In the light of near-universal condemnation from the world community, Mugabe can no longer claim that all is well in Zimbabwe and not all his racist ranting can make it so. What Zimbabwe needs is an honest, impartial negotiator to help solve the impasse. While Thabo Mbeki drones on about how only Zimbabweans can solve their own problems, his every moves demonstrates his own partiality, even to the extent of rejecting a UN negotiator to help solve the problem. Since the sham election of June 27 thousands more Zimbabwean refugees have flooded into South Africa and still this stubborn man cannot bring himself to admit that he has utterly failed to bring an end to the crisis. Even the world football body FIFA has warned South Africa that holding the 2010 World Cup is in doubt if the situation is not brought under control in Zimbabwe. Nothing moves Mbeki. One has to wonder what it is, apart from the so-called Liberation Credentials, that tie him so closely to Robert Mugabe and his disgraced regime. Perhaps if we knew the answer to that question we might be a step nearer to finding a solution. How much more African blood has to be shed, how many more women have to be gang raped and children be orphaned before Mbeki acts to stop the madness? Picture the scene; you are suddenly released into the sunlight again; freedom has come - but freedom to do what? Inflation is running at over a million %; you have no money, no food and no job. You do not even have the bus fare to take you home. As the prison gates close behind you, there is a certain 'someone' waiting who offers you what seems an absolute fortune to roam the streets and do exactly what you did before: make a lot of noise, beat up any passer-by but particularly known MDC activists and sympathizers. In normal times such behaviour would get you arrested and back behind bars but now you are under the Presidential amnesty; you are doing his work for him. What choice do you have? It is not because you care about one party or the other; the politics of the stomach is all you understand. Morality is a luxury in Mugabe's Zimbabwe. You see the ruling party's election posters proclaiming 'This is the final battle for control' and the presidential clenched fist tells you how this control will be maintained. Not through justice and honest negotiation but through rigged elections and violence which you are expected to carry out. These are indeed desperate times in Zimbabwe. The pathetic AU raps Mugabe on the knuckles and tells him to go home and form a government of national unity. His spokesman George Charamba rages at foreign journalists who dare to question Mugabe's legitimacy accusing them of taking advantage of their white skins(!) and the Old Man himself, looking for all the world like a cornered rat, says he is as legitimate as Gordon Brown. He talks about the demon in Downing Street - well, it takes one to know one I guess! What can Zimbabweans do to stop this madness? We have tried the democratic route and that failed. Mugabe saw to that. He is not going to give in to such trifles as crosses on ballot papers; to him the gun is mightier than the vote. Not even the condemnation of fellow African leaders will stop him. Only God can remove him he says and in front of the whole world he swears his oath of allegiance. With his hand on the christian holy bible in a ceremony presided over by his puppet Chief Justice, Mugabe promises to 'serve the Zimbabwean people well and truly'. |
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